Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 46

Severe Weather in United States

ElkUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 2 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 50 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 April 2026 — 4 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued September 2 at 8:57AM EDT until September 2 at 9:15AM EDT by NWS State College PA

Nearby, since 16 April 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 72 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Our confidence72%
Coordinates41.5744, -78.6133
Nearest CityJamestown (78 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-02T12:57:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.c7b0c71fec94a627786a1a0e29ead51ad994cd48.002.1

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescElk, PA
HeadlineTornado Warning issued September 2 at 8:57AM EDT until September 2 at 9:15AM EDT by NWS State College PA
Expires2026-09-02T09:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS State College PA
HasExactCoordstrue
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location3 WNW Warren
Spc CountyWarren
Spc StatePA
Spc CommentsMultiple trees down around the 1900 block of Follett Run Road. (CTP)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City3 WNW Warren
Iem CountyWarren
Iem StatePA
Iem WfoCTP
Iem RemarkCorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 3 WNW Warren. Multiple trees down around the 1900 block of Follett Run Road.

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.