Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 12 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 September 2026 at 02:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 37 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 September 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 15 at 8:51PM CDT until September 15 at 9:30PM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX
Nearby, since 27 March 2026
- June 25, 2026 · score 22 · 1.8 km
- June 24, 2026 · score 46 · 15.5 km
- September 11, 2026 · score 28 · 20.6 km
How we know
3 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.71/1 |
| Coordinates | 33.9543, -102.4029 |
| Nearest City | Lubbock (65 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-16T01:51:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.cb588ca343c2996ce55c02d68ee643a944c3de2a.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-16T01:51:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-16T02:02:49.273Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Lamb, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 15 at 8:51PM CDT until September 15 at 9:30PM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX |
| Expires | 2026-09-15T21:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lubbock TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | 4 E Reese Center |
| Spc County | Lubbock |
| Spc State | TX |
| Spc Comments | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). (LUB) |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 64 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 6 W Lubbock |
| Iem County | Lubbock |
| Iem State | TX |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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