Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

GrundyUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 11 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 06:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 4th strongest of the 22 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 June 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 2 at 6:58PM CDT until July 3 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA

An estimated 137,335 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 14 April 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 8 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence89%
Coordinates42.3092, -92.7767
Nearest CityMarshalltown (31 km)
Population Exposed137.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-02T23:58:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cb75368546da3357a7106491aff4df42a0332904.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescBlack Hawk, IA; Grundy, IA; Marshall, IA; Tama, IA
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 2 at 6:58PM CDT until July 3 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA
Expires2026-07-03T01:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Des Moines IA
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryR
Iem Magnitude3.99
Iem UnitInch
Iem City1 SSE Reinbeck
Iem CountyGrundy
Iem StateIA
Iem WfoDMX
Iem RemarkStorm total precipitation from a personal weather station.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_R_42.400_-92.450_1783040220000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783040220000,"latitude":42.4,"longitude":-92.45},{"id":"iem_R_42.360_-92.770_1783038180000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783038180000,"latitude":42.36,"longitude":-92.77},{"id":"iem_R_42.300_-92.780_1783040160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783040160000,"latitude":42.3,"longitude":-92.78},{"id":"iem_F_42.340_-92.650_1783037940000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783037940000,"latitude":42.34,"longitude":-92.65},{"id":"iem_R_42.370_-92.670_1783040040000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783040040000,"latitude":42.37,"longitude":-92.67},{"id":"iem_R_42.260_-92.690_1783040100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783040100000,"latitude":42.26,"longitude":-92.69},{"id":"iem_R_42.310_-92.590_1783040280000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783040280000,"latitude":42.31,"longitude":-92.59}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.