This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 27 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 12 at 1:58PM EDT until May 12 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 1,037,307 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 29, 2026 · score 52 · 2.8 km
- August 30, 2026 · score 52 · 6.3 km
- July 10, 2026 · score 52 · 6.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 76 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 76 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 28.3483, -82.7350 |
| Nearest City | Bayonet Point (6 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.0M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-12T17:58:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Pasco, FL |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued May 12 at 1:58PM EDT until May 12 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-12T14:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 76/100, near Bayonet Point (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.