Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 58

Severe Weather in United States

TuscolaUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 17 May 2026 at 22:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 24 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 17 at 6:07PM EDT until May 17 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI

An estimated 33,917 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)58 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates43.6240, -83.3120
Nearest CityBay City (47 km)
Population Exposed33.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-17T22:07:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e4b82c3252da6111f504829e94a0e605d6ada986.001.1

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescHuron, MI; Tuscola, MI
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 17 at 6:07PM EDT until May 17 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
Expires2026-05-17T18:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.