Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 15:48 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 11th strongest of the 18 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 12 at 11:38AM EDT until September 12 at 11:45AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 29, 2026 · score 22 · 11.3 km
- July 11, 2026 · score 22 · 11.6 km
- July 30, 2026 · score 22 · 14.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100, at 62 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 62% |
| Coordinates | 29.0792, -82.9550 |
| Nearest City | Marion Oaks (76 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T15:38:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.e52b45abc2c975635fc06a8ff46eed70c3c2fdbe.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM; Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued September 12 at 11:38AM EDT until September 12 at 11:45AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T11:48:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?