Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 9 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 30 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 April 2026 — one other scored the same. The last comparable one was on 7 August 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 3:30PM CDT until September 12 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK
An estimated 51,818 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 April 2026
- June 30, 2026 · score 39 · 2.0 km
- June 29, 2026 · score 39 · 2.0 km
- September 12, 2026 · score 45 · 8.9 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 45 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 91% |
| Coordinates | 36.9344, -94.8944 |
| Nearest City | Joplin (38 km) |
| Population Exposed | 51.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T20:30:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.e6d089e5510099c97a79fc4626d38d9da78d11a7.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Ottawa, OK |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 3:30PM CDT until September 12 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T16:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tulsa OK |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | 1 WSW West Mineral |
| Spc County | Cherokee |
| Spc State | KS |
| Spc Comments | Time estimated from radar. (SGF) |
| Iem TypeSummary | H |
| Iem Magnitude | 1 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 2 SE Erie |
| Iem County | Neosho |
| Iem State | KS |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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