This alert expired on 9 July 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 41 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 3 July 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 9 at 6:53PM EDT until July 9 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 582,707 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 29, 2026 · score 48 · 2.0 km
- August 5, 2026 · score 41 · 9.4 km
- August 29, 2026 · score 48 · 10.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 79% |
| Coordinates | 26.3720, -81.8740 |
| Nearest City | Estero (10 km) |
| Population Exposed | 582.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-09T22:53:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef1217bccd804daed32be94badfe3988cd3aeac7.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lee, FL |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 9 at 6:53PM EDT until July 9 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-07-09T19:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Estero?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Estero (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.