HighSevere WeatherCS: 49 · v4 (historical)

Severe Weather near Havelock

CarteretUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 6 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 6 recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 May 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 5 at 6:42PM EDT until September 5 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS Newport/Morehead City NC

Urban PEI: 117,791 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 11 May 2026

How we know

3 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 49 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)49 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.91/1
Coordinates34.6786, -77.0529
Nearest CityHavelock (26 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)117.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-09-05T22:42:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.f766ffa6e954bc720eda915b4a5f980051747a54.001.1

Physical priority index · v4 (historical). Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-05T22:42:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-06T00:16:33.988Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCarteret, NC
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 5 at 6:42PM EDT until September 5 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS Newport/Morehead City NC
Expires2026-09-05T21:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Newport/Morehead City NC
HasExactCoordstrue
Spc ReportTypehail
Spc Speed100
Spc LocationTrenton
Spc CountyJones
Spc StateNC
Spc CommentsReport and picture via Facebook. (MHX)
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude45
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City1 E Crab Point Village
Iem CountyAMZ158
Iem StateNC

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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