This alert expired on 18 June 2026 at 14:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 69 recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 March 2026 — 13 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 18 at 8:27AM EDT until June 18 at 10:45AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 1,098,920 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 9 March 2026
- August 2, 2026 · score 46 · 2.9 km
- August 2, 2026 · score 46 · 3.8 km
- August 2, 2026 · score 46 · 11.8 km
How we know
Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 42.9360, -78.7487 |
| Nearest City | Cheektowaga (4 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.1M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-18T12:27:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.faf8fdaa7d403549f7f7c3b58aa94dddf7cf6e5c.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Erie, NY |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued June 18 at 8:27AM EDT until June 18 at 10:45AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-06-18T10:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | F |
| Iem City | 1 NE Buffalo |
| Iem County | Erie |
| Iem State | NY |
| Iem Wfo | BUF |
| Iem Remark | Corrects previous flood report from 1 NE Buffalo. Route 33 and High Street, right two lanes flooded. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_O_43.070_-78.190_1781784360000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1781784360000,"latitude":43.07,"longitude":-78.19},{"id":"iem_F_42.930_-78.740_1781786520000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1781786520000,"latitude":42.93,"longitude":-78.74},{"id":"iem_E_42.900_-78.850_1781784300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1781784300000,"latitude":42.9,"longitude":-78.85},{"id":"iem_F_42.900_-78.850_1781784300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1781784300000,"latitude":42.9,"longitude":-78.85}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Cheektowaga?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Cheektowaga (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.