HighSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

LincolnUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 15 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

8 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 25 September 2026 at 02:01 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 14 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 12 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood-Move to Higher Ground

Nearby, since 17 May 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.64/1
Coordinates33.4113, -105.2748
Nearest CityRoswell (70 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-25T01:51:40.153Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/v2-3.13.6-1548172-1790290879831

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-25T01:51:40.153Z.

First archived: 2026-09-25T01:42:55.873Z. Material modification: 2026-09-25T01:53:37.221Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-25T01:53:37.221Z · data_change

    Index 28 → 28; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  2. 2026-09-25T01:48:22.049Z · data_change

    Index 28 → 28; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventLocal Area Emergency
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescLincoln
HeadlineFlash Flood-Move to Higher Ground
Expires2026-09-25T03:01:20+01:00
SenderNamePublic Alert System
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryE
Iem City3 N San Patricio
Iem CountyLincoln
Iem StateNM
Iem WfoABQ
Iem RemarkVideo shows Rio Bonito exceeding its banks and going over Highway 380.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_33.370_-105.250_1790295540000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790295540000,"latitude":33.37,"longitude":-105.25},{"id":"iem_F_33.370_-105.250_1790291400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790291400000,"latitude":33.37,"longitude":-105.25},{"id":"iem_F_33.450_-105.330_1790288400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790288400000,"latitude":33.45,"longitude":-105.33},{"id":"iem_F_33.460_-105.340_1790290740000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790290740000,"latitude":33.46,"longitude":-105.34},{"id":"iem_E_33.450_-105.320_1790285400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790285400000,"latitude":33.45,"longitude":-105.32}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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