Reported by SPC today.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 89 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 20 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 3 September 2026.
What the source measured
SPC reported: Hail 100 in near 1 W Luray, Page, VA. Quarter size hail observed by trained spotter in Luray. (LWX)
An estimated 85,165 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 20 May 2026
- September 5, 2026 · score 45 · 0.0 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 39 · 6.3 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 39 · 8.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including SPC.
Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100, at 75 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 45 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 75% |
| Coordinates | 38.6700, -78.4800 |
| Nearest City | Front Royal (37 km) |
| Population Exposed | 85.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-04T18:05:00.000Z |
| Source | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| ReportType | hail |
| Speed | 100 |
| Location | 1 W Luray |
| County | Page |
| State | VA |
| Comments | Quarter size hail observed by trained spotter in Luray. (LWX) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 1 W Luray |
| Iem County | Page |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | Tree debris blocking US-211/US-340 in Luray |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_39.030_-78.280_1788548940000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788548940000,"latitude":39.03,"longitude":-78.28},{"id":"iem_H_38.670_-78.480_1788545100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788545100000,"latitude":38.67,"longitude":-78.48},{"id":"iem_D_39.220_-78.680_1788546540000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788546540000,"latitude":39.22,"longitude":-78.68},{"id":"iem_D_38.660_-78.160_1788547800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788547800000,"latitude":38.66,"longitude":-78.16},{"id":"iem_D_38.980_-78.130_1788550680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788550680000,"latitude":38.98,"longitude":-78.13},{"id":"iem_D_38.670_-78.480_1788545100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788545100000,"latitude":38.67,"longitude":-78.48}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 45/100 (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.