Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 46 · v4 (historical)

Severe Weather near Ballenger Creek

United StatesSPC

Right now

The most recent data we hold from SPC arrived 13 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Reported by SPC 10 days ago.

It is the 184th strongest of the 269 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

SPC reported: Wind UNK kt near 3 E Buckeystown, Frederick, MD. Tree down along Park Mills Road. Time estimated via radar. (LWX)

Urban PEI: 1,540,665 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include SPC; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.90/1
Coordinates39.3400, -77.3700
Nearest CityBallenger Creek (7 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)1.5M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-04T02:25:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Physical priority index · v4 (historical). Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: spc. Occurrence: 2026-09-04T02:25:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-04T02:50:08.629Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

ReportTypewind
SpeedUNK
Location3 E Buckeystown
CountyFrederick
StateMD
CommentsTree down along Park Mills Road. Time estimated via radar. (LWX)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City3 E Buckeystown
Iem CountyFrederick
Iem StateMD
Iem WfoLWX
Iem RemarkTree down along Park Mills Road. Time estimated via radar.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_39.340_-77.370_1788488700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788488700000,"latitude":39.34,"longitude":-77.37}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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