Calamity
LowEarthquakesCS: 7 · v5

Earthquakes 289 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia

IndonesiaUSGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 31 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

Reported by USGS today.

No stronger detection stands among the 6 recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 July 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: 289 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia

USGS recorded magnitude 4.8 at a depth of 84 km.

Nearby, since 7 July 2026

How we know

3 recorded sources include USGS; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 7 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeEarthquakes
SeverityLow
Calamity Score (ours)7 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.71/1
Coordinates-6.6349, 130.3422
Nearest CityTual (289 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 30 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-15T06:07:52.712Z
Sourcehttps://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000thjr

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: usgs. Occurrence: 2026-09-15T06:07:52.712Z.

First archived: 2026-09-15T06:34:28.313Z. Material modification: 2026-09-15T08:44:27.001Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-15T09:54:39.515Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-15T09:49:17.296Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  3. 2026-09-15T09:43:50.673Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  4. 2026-09-15T09:38:28.995Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  5. 2026-09-15T09:17:02.590Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  6. 2026-09-15T09:06:17.021Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  7. 2026-09-15T08:44:27.001Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  8. 2026-09-15T08:12:12.994Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  9. 2026-09-15T08:06:50.848Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  10. 2026-09-15T06:50:47.913Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

  11. 2026-09-15T06:45:25.271Z · data_change

    Index 77; severity lowlow; version 55.

Score Breakdown

16
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
8
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

Mag4.8
Depth83.83
Tsunamifalse
Sig354
Emsc Mag4.8
Emsc Depth108
Emsc MagTypemb
Emsc RegionBANDA SEA
Emsc AuthEMSC
Emsc SourceId2060544
Gfz Mag4.92
Gfz Depth85.1
Gfz MagTypemb
Gfz RegionBanda Sea
MergedSources[{"id":"emsc_20260915_0000059","source":"emsc","severity":"low","severityValue":28.799999999999997,"timestamp":1789452475050,"latitude":-6.6859,"longitude":130.3476},{"id":"gfz_gfz2026scak","source":"gfz","severity":"low","severityValue":29.52,"timestamp":1789452473460,"latitude":-6.64,"longitude":130.325}]

Safety Information

If you feel shaking: Drop, Cover, and Hold On. Move away from windows, heavy objects, and exterior walls. After shaking stops, check for injuries and structural damage. Be prepared for aftershocks, which can occur minutes to months after the mainshock. Follow instructions from local emergency management authorities.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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