Rating
Indonesia risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 66.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated22m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 08:57:44 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 10:57:44 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy39.8/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 88
Earthquake
Mean event index: 30/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- DtoDindex 72 → 6654m agoActivity score changed from 72 to 66Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedcascade component 26.5 → 0.0forecast component 32.5 → 39.8
Activity score changed from 72 to 66. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributed. cascade component 26.5 → 0.0. forecast component 32.5 → 39.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — ID Detected: 2026-10-18T18:30:00.000Z CalamityScore: 73/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 1,192,275 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: ID. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoDindex 12 → 72Green → Yellow1h agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 12 → 72)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.6 → 100.0population component 3.1 → 100.0forecast component 17.3 → 32.5
- DtoAindex 72 → 12Yellow → Green2h agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 72 → 12)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 33); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 6.6population component 100.0 → 3.1forecast component 32.5 → 17.3
- DtoDindex 66 → 721d agoActivity score changed from 66 to 72Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 26.5forecast component 40.5 → 32.5
- DtoDindex 72 → 665d agoActivity score changed from 72 to 66Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 72); cause of change not attributedcascade component 26.5 → 0.0forecast component 34.5 → 40.5
- AtoDindex 13 → 72Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 13 → 72)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.6 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 20.3 → 34.5
- DtoAindex 72 → 13Yellow → Green5d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 72 → 13)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 20); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 7.6population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 34.5 → 20.3
- AtoDindex 13 → 72Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 13 → 72)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.6 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 20.3 → 34.5
- DtoAindex 72 → 13Yellow → Green5d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 72 → 13)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 20); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 7.6population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 34.5 → 20.3
- EtoDindex 95 → 72Orange → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 95 → 72)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 26.5forecast component 63.8 → 34.5
- EtoEindex 92 → 95Red → Orange14d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributedforecast component 48.0 → 63.8
- EtoEindex 92 → 92Orange → Red14d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 87); cause of change not attributed11 new cascade alert(s)forecast component 49.0 → 48.0
- EtoEindex 92 → 92Red → Orange14d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributedforecast component 49.5 → 49.0
- EtoEindex 92 → 92Orange → Red14d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributed
- EtoEindex 92 → 92Red → Orange15d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributed23 new cascade alert(s)
- EtoEindex 92 → 92Orange → Red15d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)
- EtoEindex 94 → 92Red → Orange15d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 77); cause of change not attributedforecast component 59.5 → 49.5
- DtoEindex 65 → 9433d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 65 → 94)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributed119 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 30.8 → 59.5
- EtoDindex 92 → 6533d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 92 → 65)Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 47.6 → 30.8
- CtoEindex 41 → 95Orange → Red36d agoCountry rating changed from C to E (score 41 → 95)Operational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 82)69 new cascade alert(s)