HighDisease OutbreakCS: 59 · v1

Disease Outbreak near Casal de' Pazzi, Italy

RomaItalyWorld Health Organization

Reported by World Health Organization 206 days ago.

What the source measured

World Health Organization reported: On 21 March 2026, the National International Health Regulations (IHR) Focal Point for Italy notified the World Health Organization (WHO) of the identification of a human case of avian influenza A(H9) in an adult male returning from Senegal. Next generation sequencing confirmed Influenza A(H9N2). ...

Urban PEI: 9,192,121 within a heuristic 200 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: World Health Organization. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 59 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeDisease Outbreak
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)59 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.82/1
Coordinates41.9000, 12.6000
Nearest cityCasal de' Pazzi (4 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)9.2M within 200 km
Impact tiersevere
Timestamp2026-04-10T13:51:44.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2026-DON597
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO · World Health Organization

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: who. Occurrence: 2026-04-10T13:51:44.000Z.

First archived: 2026-04-13T14:17:18.252Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

65
intensity
100
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
33
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

DonId2026-DON597
DiseaseNameAvian Influenza A(H9N2)
PubDate2026-04-10T13:51:44Z

Safety information

What to do in a disease outbreak

Health authorities decide what to do in an outbreak; these are the habits that help in almost every one. From the World Health Organization and the ECDC.

For this reportDisease Outbreak · Casal de' Pazzi

  1. Follow the health authorities

    Your country’s and your region’s: they know which disease it is and what protects against it.

    WHO · ECDC
  2. Wash your hands

    Often, with soap and water, for at least 20 seconds.

    WHO
  3. If you have symptoms, call first

    Call a doctor or the health line before going in, so you do not infect others on the way.

    WHO · ECDC

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · Any time

  • Keep vaccinations up to date

    Yours and your children’s, and those advised for travel.

WHO · ECDC

During · During the outbreak

  • Follow official advice

    Not rumours or messages passed along.

  • Cover coughs and sneezes

    With a tissue or your elbow.

WHO · ECDC

After · When it is declared over

  • Keep the habits

    Clean hands and vaccinations protect next time too.

WHO

Questions people ask

Where do I find reliable information?

From your national health authority and the World Health Organization. Calamity.live reports what they publish; it does not give medical advice.