MediumSevere WeatherCS: 16 · v5

Severe Weather in Russia

RussiaCAP RU HMC

Right now

The most recent data we hold from CAP RU HMC arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Official warning

This warning has expired. Its original text remains below.

Highest level recorded for this local day: Moderate.

Level in this notice: Moderate.

Other dangers

ночью и утром на дорогах местами гололедица

This alert expired on 7 October 2026 at 04:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is one of only 2 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 October 2026.

What the source measured

CAP RU HMC reported: ночью и утром на дорогах местами гололедица

How we know

One source: CAP RU HMC. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.44/1
Coordinates57.7033, 69.1378
Nearest cityTobolsk (76 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact tierminor
Timestamp2026-10-06T15:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://meteoinfo.ru/hmc-output/cap/cap-feed/en/20261006090441-0263474.xml
LicencePublic domain · Hydrometcenter of Russia · Grouped by area and local day; CAP severity mapped; map location derived from alert geometry. Original warning text preserved.

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: cap_ru_hmc. Occurrence: 2026-10-06T15:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-06T17:19:10.878Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

EventOther dangers
AreaDescTyumen Region
Geocodes[]
Onset2026-10-06T15:00:00-00:00
Effective2026-10-06T09:04:00-00:00
Expires2026-10-07T04:00:00-00:00
TimeBasisonset
LocalDay20261006
CapTimeZoneAsia/Yekaterinburg
CapDayBasisarea-centroid-timezone
CapSeverityModerate
DailyPeakCapSeverityModerate
CapUrgencyImmediate
CapCertaintyLikely
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
HeadlineOther dangers
Descriptionночью и утром на дорогах местами гололедица
Languageen
CapIdentifier2.49.0.1.643.0.20261006.090441.0263474.00.EN

Safety information

What to do under a weather warning

A warning says what weather to expect, what it may do and how sure the forecasters are. Three things first, then what to do before, during and after. From the UK Met Office’s guide to weather warnings and Ready.gov (FEMA).

For this reportSevere Weather · Russia

  1. Read the warning, not only its colour

    It says which weather, where, what it may do and how likely that is. The colour is the summary, not the whole message.

    Met Office
  2. Orange or red: change your plans

    Orange, or amber, means the impacts are more likely: think again about travelling and protect yourself and your home. Red means dangerous weather is expected: act now, avoid travel, follow the emergency services.

    Met Office
  3. Stay informed until it ends

    Warnings are updated, raised and extended. Keep following your national weather service and the local news.

    Met Office · Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · Before the weather arrives

  • Get the warnings

    From your national weather service: its app, its website or alerts on your phone.

  • Be ready for a power cut

    A torch, batteries and a charged phone.

  • Think of the people near you

    Older neighbours, people who live alone, anyone who would struggle without roads or power.

Met Office · Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · While the warning is in force

  • Avoid travel if you can

    Above all under an orange or red warning: roads and railways may close.

  • Follow the authorities

    And the emergency services, who know the local situation.

Met Office

After · When the warning ends

  • Mind the damage

    Keep away from fallen power lines and damaged buildings.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

If a life is in danger

112

Emergency number: Russia

Call 112

Questions people ask

What do the colours of a warning mean?

Yellow: be aware, some disruption is likely, or worse is possible but less likely. Orange or amber: be prepared, the impacts are more likely, change your plans. Red: take action, dangerous weather is expected. Source: Met Office.

Is a yellow warning serious?

It can be: some yellow warnings are for impacts that are unlikely but would be severe if they happened. Read the warning to see which kind it is. Source: Met Office.

Follow this area

Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.