HighSevere WeatherCS: 40 · v5

Severe Weather near Konstantinovsk

RussiaCAP RU HMC

Right now

The most recent data we hold from CAP RU HMC arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is in it.

3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Official warning

Highest level recorded for this local day: Severe.

Level in this notice: Severe.

Forestfire

в отдельных юго-восточных районах ожидается чрезвычайная пожароопасность (5 класс).

This alert is in force until 7 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 October 2026.

What the source measured

CAP RU HMC reported: в отдельных юго-восточных районах ожидается чрезвычайная пожароопасность (5 класс).

Urban PEI: 42,459 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: CAP RU HMC. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)40 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.64/1
Coordinates47.7423, 41.3211
Nearest cityKonstantinovsk (25 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)42.5K within 50 km
Impact tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-10-06T09:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://meteoinfo.ru/hmc-output/cap/cap-feed/en/20261006090433-0263473.xml
LicencePublic domain · Hydrometcenter of Russia · Grouped by area and local day; CAP severity mapped; map location derived from alert geometry. Original warning text preserved.

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: cap_ru_hmc. Occurrence: 2026-10-06T09:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-06T16:47:21.142Z. Material modification: 2026-10-06T17:19:23.202Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-10-06T17:19:23.202Z · data change

    Index 28 → 40; severity Medium → High.

Score breakdown

50
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

EventForestfire
AreaDescRostov Region
Geocodes[]
Onset2026-10-06T09:00:00-00:00
Effective2026-10-06T09:04:00-00:00
Expires2026-10-07T20:00:00-00:00
TimeBasisonset
LocalDay20261006
CapTimeZoneEurope/Moscow
CapDayBasisarea-centroid-timezone
CapSeveritySevere
DailyPeakCapSeveritySevere
CapUrgencyImmediate
CapCertaintyLikely
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
HeadlineForestfire
Descriptionв отдельных юго-восточных районах ожидается чрезвычайная пожароопасность (5 класс).
Languageen
CapIdentifier2.49.0.1.643.0.20261006.090433.0263473.00.EN

Safety information

What to do near a wildfire

Three things first, then what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US EPA’s AirNow.

For this reportSevere Weather · Konstantinovsk

  1. Leave when told, early

    When authorities order an evacuation, go at once. Do not wait to see the flames: fire moves faster than you can run.

    Ready.gov
  2. Trapped? Call for help

    Call the emergency number and give your location. Stay in a building or a car rather than in the open, with doors and windows shut.

    Ready.gov
  3. Protect yourself from smoke

    Stay indoors with windows closed, use an air purifier if you have one, and wear an N95/FFP2 mask outside.

    AirNow · Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is still “during”.

Before · In fire season

  • Get the alerts

    Official alerts on your phone, so an evacuation order reaches you.

  • Plan two ways out

    Know two routes away from home and practise them.

  • Clear around the house

    Remove dry leaves, wood and anything that burns from around the walls.

  • A bag by the door

    Documents, medicines, chargers, masks, water.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · While the fire is near

  • Go at once if ordered

    Follow the routes authorities give.

  • Shut the smoke out

    Close windows and doors; set the air conditioning to recirculate.

  • Keep outdoor effort low

    Smoke harms lungs and heart, most of all in children, older people and those with asthma.

Ready.gov (FEMA) · AirNow

After · When the fire has passed

  • Return when it is declared safe

    Roads, trees and power lines can still be dangerous.

  • Beware hot spots

    Ash and the ground can stay hot enough to burn for days.

  • Clean up protected

    Gloves, long sleeves, sturdy shoes and a mask; wet the ash before moving it.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

If a life is in danger

112

Emergency number: Russia

Call 112

Questions people ask

Does a satellite detection mean a wildfire?

Not always. A satellite sees heat: a wildfire, a controlled burn, a flare or an industrial plant. If you see smoke or flames, call the local emergency number and follow the fire service.

Do cloth masks protect from smoke?

Not much. A well-fitting N95 (FFP2 in Europe) filters the fine particles; cloth and surgical masks let most of them through. Source: AirNow (US EPA).

When can I go home?

Only when authorities say the area is safe. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

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