MediumFloodsCS: 30 · v5

Floods near Wilmington

New HanoverUnited StatesCO OPS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from CO OPS arrived 80 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Reported by CO OPS today.

No stronger detection stands among the 184 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 3 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 27 September 2026. 183 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

CO OPS reported: Water level 8.58 ft above the station datum at Wilmington, NC, at or above NOAA's minor coastal flood threshold of 7.95 ft; +0.38 m against the predicted tide.

Urban PEI: 133,857 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include CO OPS; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 30 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeFloods
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)30 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.75/1
Coordinates34.2275, -77.9536
Nearest CityWilmington (1 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)133.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-28T02:24:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8658120

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: co_ops. Occurrence: 2026-09-28T02:24:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-28T01:16:27.948Z. Material modification: 2026-09-28T02:35:24.688Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

13 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score Breakdown

20
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
10
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

StationId8658120
StationNameWilmington, NC
WaterLevelFt8.58
FloodCategoryminor
FloodThresholdFt7.95
SurgeM0.38
DatumSTND
Iem TypeSummaryCoastal flood
Iem LsrCodev
Iem LsrTypeCOASTAL FLOOD
Iem City1 W Bettie
Iem CountyAMZ158
Iem StateNC
Iem WfoMHX
Iem RemarkPartial flooding of US70 around the North River Bridge. Received via social media.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_v_34.780_-76.630_1790524800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790524800000,"latitude":34.78,"longitude":-76.63},{"id":"iem_v_34.770_-76.560_1790526600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790526600000,"latitude":34.77,"longitude":-76.56},{"id":"iem_v_34.790_-76.610_1790524800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1790524800000,"latitude":34.79,"longitude":-76.61}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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