Right now
The most recent data we hold from NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) arrived 17 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Wind forecast for this point: from SSW at 24 km/h at 16:00 UTC, according to MET Norway.
6 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
The satellite has seen heat at this spot on 88 earlier days since 9 March 2026, in 7 of the twelve months of the year. Heat that is there in every season usually comes from industry (a steelworks, a refinery flare, a gas field) or from routine burning, not from a wildfire. NASA's data do not say which.
Recorded by satellite today.
A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.
It is the 10th strongest of the 76 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 8 October 2026. 48 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 95 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 390 MW, at high confidence, 6 km from Lipetsk.
The 95 pixels cover about 13.3 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.
FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.
Urban PEI: 472,562 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 9 March 2026
- August 6, 2026 · 0.1 km
- August 7, 2026 · 0.1 km
- August 12, 2026 · 0.1 km
How we know
One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Wind: MET Norway Locationforecast, CC BY 4.0.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Event data
| Type | Persistent heat source |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.74/1 |
| Coordinates | 52.5526, 39.6180 |
| Nearest city | Lipetsk (6 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 472.6K within 50 km |
| Impact tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-09T00:45:00.000Z |
| Source | https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@39.618,52.553,9z |
| Licence | US public domain (NASA) · NASA FIRMS (LANCE) |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: firms. Occurrence: 2026-10-09T00:45:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-05-28T23:59:48.543Z. Material modification: 2026-10-09T03:35:35.253Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-10-09T03:35:35.253Z · model change
Severity High → Medium; version 1 → 5.
Score breakdown
Technical details
| Brightness | 367 |
| Frp | 390.03 |
| PixelCount | 95 |
| Confidence | high |
Safety information
Heat shows up at this spot regularly, which usually means an industrial plant or routine burning rather than a wildfire. Nothing on this page is an alert. In a real emergency, follow local authorities.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
In the news nearby
A list of links found by GDELT for this place and this hazard in the last seven days. External, not ours: we have not read them and do not vouch for them.
No news is listed: GDELT was not available when this page was rendered.
GDELT Project · gdeltproject.org