Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 40

Severe Weather in United States

CastroUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 May 2026 at 20:08 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 33 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 14 May 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: FIRE WARNING

An estimated 15,021 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 27 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)40 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates34.6700, -102.1153
Nearest CityHereford (31 km)
Population Exposed15.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Date2026-05-15 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/WENS_IPAWS_CONNECT22026415153815

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFire Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescAffected Area
HeadlineFIRE WARNING
Expires2026-05-15T16:08:15-04:00
SenderNamePRPC,Amarillo,TX
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 40/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.