Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 26 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 20 km from here.
This alert is in force until 11 September 2026, 09:45 UTC.
No stronger detection stands among the 10 recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 June 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 11 at 1:41AM CDT until September 11 at 4:45AM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
An estimated 101,807 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 13 June 2026
- September 11, 2026 · score 37 · 20.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 36.2056, -90.9655 |
| Nearest City | Paragould (45 km) |
| Population Exposed | 101.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-11T06:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.104b07bc5ec662ca2d258b31dc3d57e8b02ce70e.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Independence, AR; Jackson, AR; Lawrence, AR; Randolph, AR; Sharp, AR; Randolph, AR |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 11 at 1:41AM CDT until September 11 at 4:45AM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR |
| Expires | 2026-09-11T04:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Little Rock AR |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.104b07bc5ec662ca2d258b31dc3d57e8b02ce70e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.25db58fe1044981ae9709474a8fadf88344e7799.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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