Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe weather near Front Royal

FauquierUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 9th strongest of the 107 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 12 June 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 7:26PM EDT until June 14 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

An estimated 193,585 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates38.8022, -78.0193
Nearest CityFront Royal (20 km)
Population Exposed193.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Date2026-06-14 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.182664adf7402583a8083875865a9d85

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescGates, NC; Hertford, NC; Northampton, NC; Greensville, VA; Southampton, VA; Sussex, VA; City of Franklin, VA; Edgecombe, NC; Halifax, NC; Nash, NC; Essex, VA; Gloucester, VA; King and Queen, VA; Lancaster, VA; Middlesex, VA; Northumberland, VA; Richmond, VA; Westmoreland, VA and 16 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 7:26PM EDT until June 14 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-06-14T20:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount19
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Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Front Royal (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.