This alert expired on 8 August 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 17th strongest of the 60 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 8 at 2:44PM EDT until August 8 at 3:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 42,354 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 27, 2026 · score 45 · 5.9 km
- August 7, 2026 · score 39 · 9.1 km
- July 7, 2026 · score 28 · 17.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 38.9004, -78.2695 |
| Nearest City | Front Royal (7 km) |
| Population Exposed | 42.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-08-08 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b68fa5aadfd073bbaca0ebcefda0db1b |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Culpeper, VA; Madison, VA; Page, VA; Rappahannock, VA; Frederick, VA; City of Winchester, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 8 at 2:44PM EDT until August 8 at 3:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-08-08T15:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b68fa5aadfd073bbaca0ebcefda0db1b0bcbd383.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.450c73c245a09781e386283e406b9176fab20cb7.002.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 3 WNW Inwood |
| Iem County | Berkeley |
| Iem State | WV |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | Trees down in the 1800 block of WV-51 Gerrardstown Road. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_39.320_-77.840_1786203900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786203900000,"latitude":39.32,"longitude":-77.84},{"id":"iem_D_39.370_-78.100_1786202400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786202400000,"latitude":39.37,"longitude":-78.1}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100, near Front Royal (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.