Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 22 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 1 July 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 22 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026 — 18 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 1 at 10:35AM EDT until July 1 at 12:30PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI

How we know

3 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.71/1
Coordinates44.4184, -86.9890
Nearest CityManitowoc (65 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-07-01T14:35:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b47bcd12ba2780f25850c8ec25bb2e4a

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-01T14:35:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-01T15:09:22.907Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescPentwater to Manistee MI; Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI; Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI; Manistee to Point Betsie MI; Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake; Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI; Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake and 1 more areas
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 1 at 10:35AM EDT until July 1 at 12:30PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI
Expires2026-07-01T12:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Rapids MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount5
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b47bcd12ba2780f25850c8ec25bb2e4af80f1711.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6db830b7cd87f8d90a500bd61c1408d0bb50cdf0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.656195c9f8e0bd736b3a11ffa789dbf71fabf06f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d8e005fde89a366cd0bb920ed566138176fc893b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2a3e019ddbcbca427fe0e838589fdbd063c6b8b1.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude55
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City4 NW New Franken
Iem CountyBrown
Iem StateWI
Iem WfoGRB
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_44.840_-87.420_1782914280000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782914280000,"latitude":44.84,"longitude":-87.42},{"id":"iem_G_44.570_-87.900_1782912240000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782912240000,"latitude":44.57,"longitude":-87.9}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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