Severe weather near Fredericksburg
This alert expired on 13 June 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 15th strongest of the 59 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 27 May 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 12 at 5:02PM EDT until June 12 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 300,664 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- June 27, 2026 · score 43 · 6.3 km
- July 9, 2026 · score 48 · 12.8 km
- July 5, 2026 · score 48 · 13.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 38.3156, -77.5211 |
| Nearest City | Fredericksburg (6 km) |
| Population Exposed | 300.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-12T21:02:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.09a26ed42769b7b8207a56220a56b80439c07eef.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued June 12 at 5:02PM EDT until June 12 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-06-12T20:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Fredericksburg (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.