Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Palm River-Clair Mel

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 7 km from here.

This alert expired on 9 July 2026 at 22:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 56 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 25 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 1 July 2026. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 9 at 5:39PM EDT until July 9 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

An estimated 2,084,308 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates27.8940, -82.4340
Nearest CityPalm River-Clair Mel (6 km)
Population Exposed2.1M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-09T21:39:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.19617fefd04a8c8d445d88757f80e401a0c8abc3.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescTampa Bay waters
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 9 at 5:39PM EDT until July 9 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Expires2026-07-09T18:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Palm River-Clair Mel (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.