This alert expired on 22 June 2026 at 20:52 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 33rd strongest of the 56 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 22 at 4:43PM EDT until June 22 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 32,627 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 19, 2026 · score 34 · 10.1 km
- August 6, 2026 · score 34 · 10.5 km
- July 28, 2026 · score 58 · 14.8 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 38.5933, -78.1150 |
| Nearest City | Culpeper (17 km) |
| Population Exposed | 32.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-22T20:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.65dc50d8670e1f51d67c8f0824450c8af1611d66.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Culpeper, VA; Fauquier, VA; Rappahannock, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 22 at 4:43PM EDT until June 22 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-06-22T16:52:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 E Leaksville |
| Iem County | Page |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | Trees down on Mill Creek Road |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_38.630_-78.490_1782157740000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782157740000,"latitude":38.63,"longitude":-78.49}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100, near Culpeper (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.