Severe Weather near Williamsburg
Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
7 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 5 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 21:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 68 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 5 September 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued September 12 at 4:43PM EDT until September 12 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
An estimated 142,737 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 12, 2026 · score 67 · 4.6 km
- September 13, 2026 · score 49 · 9.5 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 48 · 15.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 37.2430, -76.9850 |
| Nearest City | Williamsburg (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 142.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T20:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.73950c2b0516c3bcad2f086a2a56995a66d60a2f.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Charles City, VA; Prince George, VA; Surry, VA |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued September 12 at 4:43PM EDT until September 12 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T17:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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