Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
9 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 21:20 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 76 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 18 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued September 12 at 5:11PM EDT until September 12 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
An estimated 405,695 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 12, 2026 · score 67 · 4.6 km
- September 13, 2026 · score 49 · 12.6 km
- September 13, 2026 · score 54 · 14.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 37.2570, -77.0340 |
| Nearest City | Hopewell (23 km) |
| Population Exposed | 405.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T21:11:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.7fd1bc494734ff694c90424d8d80f277a87a8e50.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Charles City, VA; Prince George, VA; Surry, VA |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued September 12 at 5:11PM EDT until September 12 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T17:20:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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