Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Bayonet Point

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 11 July 2026 at 00:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 11th strongest of the 19 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 12 May 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 10 at 7:33PM EDT until July 10 at 8:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

Urban PEI: 452,605 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates28.4311, -82.8722
Nearest CityBayonet Point (22 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)452.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-10T23:33:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cac9ea4998677e42c390ff4f15e6997db4bba91a.001.1

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-10T23:33:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-11T00:26:44.794Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM; Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 10 at 7:33PM EDT until July 10 at 8:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Expires2026-07-10T20:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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