Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 4th strongest of the 29 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 12 at 11:26AM EDT until May 12 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
An estimated 1,263,463 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 15, 2026 · score 76 · 3.0 km
- May 12, 2026 · score 52 · 5.0 km
- May 12, 2026 · score 52 · 5.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 28.7369, -81.2894 |
| Nearest City | Lake Mary (4 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.3M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-12T15:26:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dd4af9855b888473c3186aa56f2a44cb3199ff98.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Seminole, FL |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 12 at 11:26AM EDT until May 12 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-12T12:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Melbourne FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Lake Mary?