Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 45

Severe Weather near Culpeper

MadisonUnited StatesSPC

Reported by SPC today.

No stronger detection stands among the 160 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 23 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

SPC reported: Hail 150 in near 2 ESE Oakpark, Madison, VA. Ping pong ball size hail in the 8000 block of Oak Park Rd (LWX)

An estimated 64,154 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including SPC.

Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)45 / 100
Our confidence87%
Coordinates38.3600, -78.1400
Nearest CityCulpeper (17 km)
Population Exposed64.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-09-04T19:26:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

ReportTypehail
Speed150
Location2 ESE Oakpark
CountyMadison
StateVA
CommentsPing pong ball size hail in the 8000 block of Oak Park Rd (LWX)
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1.5
Iem Unitinch
Iem City2 ESE Oakpark
Iem CountyMadison
Iem StateVA
Iem WfoLWX
Iem RemarkPing pong ball size hail in the 8000 block of Oak Park Rd
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_38.360_-78.140_1788549960000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788549960000,"latitude":38.36,"longitude":-78.14}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 45/100, near Culpeper (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.