Right now
The most recent data we hold from SPC arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 3 km from here.
Reported by SPC 173 days ago.
No stronger detection stands among the 179 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 87 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 55 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
SPC reported: Wind UNK kt near 1 WNW Orange Park, Clay, FL. Numerous trees and powerlines were reported down across the Orange Park area due to a downburst that began near Asbury Lake. Multiple trees fell on homes destroying the (JAX)
An estimated 1,236,062 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 0.0 km
- July 25, 2026 · score 52 · 3.6 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 6.5 km
How we know
One source: SPC. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 69% |
| Coordinates | 30.1800, -81.7200 |
| Nearest City | Lakeside (7 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.2M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-17T01:44:58.674Z |
| Source | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| ReportType | wind |
| Speed | UNK |
| Location | 1 WNW Orange Park |
| County | Clay |
| State | FL |
| Comments | Numerous trees and powerlines were reported down across the Orange Park area due to a downburst that began near Asbury Lake. Multiple trees fell on homes destroying the (JAX) |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Lakeside?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Lakeside (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.