Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 28

Severe Weather near Culpeper

OrangeUnited StatesSPC

Reported by SPC today.

It is the 47th strongest of the 77 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.

What the source measured

SPC reported: Wind UNK kt near Burr Hill, Orange, VA. Multiple trees & power lines down near Zoar and Tinsley Mill Road blocking the roadway. (LWX)

An estimated 45,675 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including SPC.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Our confidence87%
Coordinates38.3400, -77.8500
Nearest CityCulpeper (19 km)
Population Exposed45.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-02T20:11:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

ReportTypewind
SpeedUNK
LocationBurr Hill
CountyOrange
StateVA
CommentsMultiple trees & power lines down near Zoar and Tinsley Mill Road blocking the roadway. (LWX)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem CityBurr Hill
Iem CountyOrange
Iem StateVA
Iem WfoLWX
Iem RemarkMultiple trees & power lines down near Zoar and Tinsley Mill Road blocking the roadway.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_38.260_-77.960_1788379560000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788379560000,"latitude":38.26,"longitude":-77.96},{"id":"iem_D_38.200_-78.070_1788380220000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788380220000,"latitude":38.2,"longitude":-78.07},{"id":"iem_D_38.340_-77.850_1788379860000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788379860000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-77.85}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 28/100, near Culpeper (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.