Reported by SPC today.
It is the 11th strongest of the 35 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
SPC reported: Wind UNK kt near 2 NW Oakpark, Madison, VA. Tree down along Lillards Ford Road. Time estimated via radar. (LWX)
An estimated 64,154 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 18, 2026 · score 39 · 5.2 km
- August 10, 2026 · score 39 · 9.8 km
- May 19, 2026 · score 34 · 13.4 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including SPC.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 38.3900, -78.1900 |
| Nearest City | Culpeper (19 km) |
| Population Exposed | 64.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-02T19:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| ReportType | wind |
| Speed | UNK |
| Location | 2 NW Oakpark |
| County | Madison |
| State | VA |
| Comments | Tree down along Lillards Ford Road. Time estimated via radar. (LWX) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 NW Oakpark |
| Iem County | Madison |
| Iem State | VA |
| Iem Wfo | LWX |
| Iem Remark | Tree down along Lillards Ford Road. Time estimated via radar. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_38.390_-78.190_1788379020000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788379020000,"latitude":38.39,"longitude":-78.19}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Culpeper?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100, near Culpeper (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.