Reported by SPC 4 days ago.
It is the 12th strongest of the 70 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 18 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
SPC reported: Wind UNK kt near 1 NNE Gravel Springs, Frederick, VA. Pea size hail and large branches down near the intersection of US-48 Wardensville Pike and N Pifer Rd. (LWX)
An estimated 42,354 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 18 May 2026
- August 28, 2026 · score 34 · 7.5 km
- June 18, 2026 · score 34 · 13.6 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 34 · 17.8 km
How we know
One source: SPC. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 76 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 76% |
| Coordinates | 39.0900, -78.4300 |
| Nearest City | Winchester (26 km) |
| Population Exposed | 42.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-28T04:11:25.268Z |
| Source | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| ReportType | wind |
| Speed | UNK |
| Location | 1 NNE Gravel Springs |
| County | Frederick |
| State | VA |
| Comments | Pea size hail and large branches down near the intersection of US-48 Wardensville Pike and N Pifer Rd. (LWX) |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100, near Winchester (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.