Reported by SPC today.
It is the 26th strongest of the 65 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
SPC reported: Wind UNK kt near 2 ENE Loysville, Perry, PA. Tree down at Mahanoy Ridge Road near the intersection of Shermans Valley Road. (CTP)
An estimated 69,326 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 13 May 2026
- August 28, 2026 · score 39 · 7.8 km
- August 27, 2026 · score 32 · 7.8 km
- July 5, 2026 · score 63 · 16.2 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including SPC.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 40.3900, -77.2900 |
| Nearest City | Carlisle (23 km) |
| Population Exposed | 69.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-02T15:10:00.000Z |
| Source | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| ReportType | wind |
| Speed | UNK |
| Location | 2 ENE Loysville |
| County | Perry |
| State | PA |
| Comments | Tree down at Mahanoy Ridge Road near the intersection of Shermans Valley Road. (CTP) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 2 ENE Loysville |
| Iem County | Perry |
| Iem State | PA |
| Iem Wfo | CTP |
| Iem Remark | Tree down at Mahanoy Ridge Road near the intersection of Shermans Valley Road. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_40.390_-77.290_1788361800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1788361800000,"latitude":40.39,"longitude":-77.29}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Carlisle?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100, near Carlisle (United States), based on data from spc. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.