Calamity
highVolcanic eruptionCalamity Score: 20

Volcanic eruption at Kilauea

HawaiiUnited StatesUSGS

Reported by USGS 172 days ago.

It is the 4th strongest of the 185 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 March 2026. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: HVO Kilauea ORANGE/WATCH - The Halemaʻumaʻu eruption of Kīlauea is paused. Preliminary models indicate episode 44 fountaining is likely to occur between March 28 and April 12.

USGS moved the alert level from WARNING to WATCH.

Nearby, since 7 March 2026

How we know

One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 20 out of 100, at 62 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeVolcanic eruption
Severityhigh
Calamity Score (ours)20 / 100
Our confidence62%
Coordinates19.4210, -155.2870
Nearest CityHilo (40 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-03-12T19:00:47.000Z
Sourcehttps://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-12T14:58:13+00:00

Score Breakdown

30
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

VolcanoNameKilauea
VolcanoId332010
AlertLevelWATCH
ColorCodeORANGE
ObservatoryCodehvo
NvewsThreatVery High Threat
PreviousAlertLevelWARNING
PreviousColorCodeRED

Safety Information

During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a volcano event with CalamityScore 20/100, at Kilauea (United States), based on data from usgs_volcano. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.