Calamity
HighVolcanic EruptionsCalamity Score: 20

Volcanic Eruptions at Kilauea

HawaiiUnited StatesUSGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 2 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Reported by USGS 174 days ago.

It is the 4th strongest of the 192 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 14 March 2026. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: HVO Kilauea ORANGE/WATCH - The Halemaʻumaʻu eruption of Kīlauea is paused. Preliminary models indicate episode 44 fountaining is likely to occur between March 30 and April 8.

USGS moved the alert level from WARNING to WATCH.

Nearby, since 7 March 2026

How we know

One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 20 out of 100, at 62 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeVolcanic Eruptions
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)20 / 100
Our confidence62%
Coordinates19.4210, -155.2870
Nearest CityHilo (40 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-03-15T19:02:16.000Z
Sourcehttps://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-15T18:58:25+00:00

Score Breakdown

30
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

VolcanoNameKilauea
VolcanoId332010
AlertLevelWATCH
ColorCodeORANGE
ObservatoryCodehvo
NvewsThreatVery High Threat
PreviousAlertLevelWARNING
PreviousColorCodeRED

Safety Information

During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.

Series begins 8 March 2026 for live collection; the monthly chart also counts backfilled detections from 10 February 2024. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a volcano event with CalamityScore 20/100, at Kilauea (United States), based on data from usgs_volcano. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.