Calamity
HighVolcanic EruptionsCalamity Score: 20

Volcanic Eruptions at Kilauea

HawaiiUnited StatesUSGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 5 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Reported by USGS 168 days ago.

It is the 11th strongest of the 200 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 26 March 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: HVO Kilauea ORANGE/WATCH - The Halemaʻumaʻu eruption of Kīlauea is paused. Models indicate episode 44 fountaining is likely to occur between April 5 and April 15.

USGS moved the alert level from WARNING to WATCH.

Nearby, since 7 March 2026

How we know

One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 20 out of 100, at 62 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeVolcanic Eruptions
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)20 / 100
Our confidence62%
Coordinates19.4210, -155.2870
Nearest CityHilo (40 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-03-27T17:27:54.000Z
Sourcehttps://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-27T17:11:20+00:00

Score Breakdown

30
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

VolcanoNameKilauea
VolcanoId332010
AlertLevelWATCH
ColorCodeORANGE
ObservatoryCodehvo
NvewsThreatVery High Threat
PreviousAlertLevelWARNING
PreviousColorCodeRED

Safety Information

During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.

Series begins 8 March 2026 for live collection; the monthly chart also counts backfilled detections from 10 February 2024. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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