Calamity
HighVolcanic EruptionsCalamity Score: 32

Volcanic Eruptions at Kilauea

HawaiiUnited StatesUSGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 82 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Reported by USGS today.

It is the 4th strongest of the 199 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 9 September 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: HVO Kilauea ORANGE/WATCH - Kīlauea volcano is intermittently erupting short, precursory lava flows continuing the activity that began September 7. The forecast window for onset of episode 55 fountaining is now September 10-11 given no change in summit inflation since yesterday.

USGS moved the alert level from ADVISORY to WATCH.

Nearby, since 7 March 2026

How we know

One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 62 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeVolcanic Eruptions
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Our confidence62%
Coordinates19.4210, -155.2870
Nearest CityHilo (40 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-10T18:21:01.000Z
Sourcehttps://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-09-10T16:30:02+00:00

Score Breakdown

60
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

VolcanoNameKilauea
VolcanoId332010
AlertLevelWATCH
ColorCodeORANGE
ObservatoryCodehvo
NvewsThreatVery High Threat
PreviousAlertLevelADVISORY
PreviousColorCodeYELLOW

Safety Information

During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.

Series begins 8 March 2026 for live collection; the monthly chart also counts backfilled detections from 10 February 2024. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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