Right now
The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 4 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.
Reported by USGS yesterday.
It is the 4th strongest of the 203 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 12 September 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
USGS reported: HVO Kilauea ORANGE/WATCH - Kīlauea volcano is intermittently erupting short, precursory lava flows with 104 recorded since this activity began on September 7. The onset of episode 55 fountaining is likely today or tomorrow, if conditions remain favorable.
USGS moved the alert level from ADVISORY to WATCH.
Nearby, since 7 March 2026
- September 14, 2026 · score 32 · 0.0 km
- September 12, 2026 · score 32 · 0.0 km
- September 11, 2026 · score 32 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Volcanic Eruptions |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.62/1 |
| Coordinates | 19.4210, -155.2870 |
| Nearest City | Hilo (40 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 100 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-13T19:15:50.000Z |
| Source | https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-09-13T16:25:26+00:00 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: usgs_volcano. Occurrence: 2026-09-13T19:15:50.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-13T19:55:50.831Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-09-14T13:51:07.992Z · model_change
Index 32 → 32; severity high → high; version 4 → 5.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| VolcanoName | Kilauea |
| VolcanoId | 332010 |
| AlertLevel | WATCH |
| ColorCode | ORANGE |
| ObservatoryCode | hvo |
| NvewsThreat | Very High Threat |
| PreviousAlertLevel | ADVISORY |
| PreviousColorCode | YELLOW |
Safety Information
During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.
Series begins 8 March 2026 for live collection; the monthly chart also counts backfilled detections from 10 February 2024. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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