MediumSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v5

Severe Weather near Dover

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 11 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert is in force until 25 September 2026, 06:00 UTC.

It is the 199th strongest of the 238 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 4 September 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Storm Warning issued September 24 at 1:12PM EDT until September 26 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

Urban PEI: 39,403 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates39.0000, -75.5000
Nearest CityDover (18 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)39.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-25T10:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.9b27f95bb302a60bb6dfd7d90dbb94c6dc7bd8d7.001.3

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-25T10:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-24T17:15:49.725Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventStorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescWaters from Sandy Hook NJ to Manasquan Inlet NJ from 20 to 40 NM; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Little Egg Inlet NJ to Great Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Great Egg Inlet NJ to Cape May NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Cape May NJ to Fenwick Island DE from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineStorm Warning issued September 24 at 1:12PM EDT until September 26 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-09-25T02:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordsfalse

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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