This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 115 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 10:33AM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 601,556 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 67 · 7.2 km
- August 6, 2026 · score 37 · 11.1 km
- July 28, 2026 · score 67 · 12.3 km
How we know
Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 72 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 72 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 88% |
| Coordinates | 38.8444, -77.8622 |
| Nearest City | Linton Hall (27 km) |
| Population Exposed | 601.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T14:33:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f1fd6d01e5762036805a57707af6b63f208416be.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Culpeper, VA; Fauquier, VA; Rappahannock, VA |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 10:33AM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T11:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Google News RssFeed | weather |
| Google News SourceName | NBC4 Washington |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"gnews_weather_492686_156","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1773669962000,"latitude":38.9,"longitude":-77.04},{"id":"gnews_weather_492685_158","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1773666818000,"latitude":38.9,"longitude":-77.04},{"id":"gnews_weather_492682_160","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1773656981000,"latitude":38.9,"longitude":-77.04},{"id":"gnews_weather_492682_169","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1773656927000,"latitude":38.9,"longitude":-77.04}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 72/100, near Linton Hall (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.