Forecast

Gambia risk assessment

Max CFI scoreNot assessedNo current assessment

2 of 2 hazard scores have expired or lack recorded validity and are shown only as last assessments, excluded from the current maximum and colours. Missing or expired coverage does not establish zero hazard.

The CFI is a heuristic activity and scenario index. The activity rating aggregates reported events and shares inputs with CFI. Neither is a calibrated probability or a measure of structural vulnerability. Unlisted country–hazard pairs are unassessed, not zero. Model cards and formulas.

Risk assessment by hazard type

Calamity Forecast Index for Gambia by hazard
HazardScoreLevel
Fire43Unassessed, last elevated
Air Quality36Unassessed, last moderate

Firerecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-06-22 23:43:14 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
100.0/100
Global seasonal prior
83.0/100
Recent activity ratio
12.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100

Air Qualityrecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-08-27 16:25:53 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
78.0/100
Global seasonal prior
30.0/100
Recent activity ratio
67.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100