Forecast
Guyana risk assessment
Max CFI score29Moderate
Activity ratingAscore 10.0
Operational statusGreen
The CFI is a heuristic activity and scenario index. The activity rating aggregates reported events and shares inputs with CFI. Neither is a calibrated probability or a measure of structural vulnerability. Unlisted country–hazard pairs are unassessed, not zero. Model cards and formulas.
Risk assessment by hazard type
| Hazard | Score | Level | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fire | Moderate | Global calendar prior for Wildfire (July/August/September); no local seasonal estimate for GY |
Firerecorded inputs
Current assessment · Model cfi-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 21:00:25 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 23:00:25 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- baseline:
- reporting days only
- reporting Days:
- 53
- seasonal:
- global prior
- selection:
- top 100 countries by current records
- frequency Unit:
- episode records per reporting day
Observed activity: 29 · Target scenario weight: 0 · Target location: not determined; source country is a reference, not a target boundary