Rating
UAE risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-10 23:45:43 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-11 01:45:43 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 36/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 16 → 105d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 10Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.6 → 7.2
Activity score changed from 16 to 10. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributed. severity component 21.6 → 7.2. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — AE Detected: 2026-10-06T21:25:00.000Z CalamityScore: 36/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: AE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 10 → 167d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 16Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 21.6
- AtoAindex 16 → 107d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 10Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 7.2population component 4.4 → 0.0forecast component 34.5 → 46.5
- AtoAindex 10 → 168d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 16Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 24.0population component 0.0 → 4.4forecast component 46.5 → 34.5
- BtoAindex 25 → 108d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 25 → 10)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.2 → 7.2population component 65.1 → 0.0forecast component 34.5 → 46.5
- AtoBindex 16 → 25Orange → Green8d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 25)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.0 → 18.2population component 0.3 → 65.1
- BtoAindex 30 → 16Yellow → Orange8d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 16)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 686) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.0 → 28.0population component 65.1 → 0.3
- AtoBindex 15 → 308d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 30)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.4 → 29.0population component 0.3 → 65.1
- AtoAindex 14 → 15Orange → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 189) (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.6 → 25.4
- AtoAindex 13 → 14Yellow → Orange9d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 470) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.0 → 22.6
- AtoAindex 16 → 13Orange → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 185) (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.0 → 20.0
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Orange9d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 999) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.8 → 28.0population component 0.8 → 0.3
- AtoAindex 16 → 18Orange → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 195) (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.0 → 32.8population component 0.3 → 0.8
- AtoAindex 14 → 16Yellow → Orange10d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 389) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 28.0population component 0.0 → 0.3forecast component 46.5 → 34.5
- BtoAindex 35 → 14Orange → Yellow10d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 14)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.4 → 18.0cascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 51.8 → 46.5
- BtoBindex 21 → 3510d agoActivity score changed from 21 to 35Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 34.8 → 24.4cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 3.0 → 0.0forecast component 46.5 → 51.8
- BtoBindex 37 → 2110d agoActivity score changed from 37 to 21Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.8 → 34.8population component 68.1 → 3.0forecast component 34.5 → 46.5
- BtoBindex 22 → 3710d agoActivity score changed from 22 to 37Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 153) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.6 → 45.8population component 3.0 → 68.1
- AtoBindex 14 → 22Yellow → Orange10d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 22)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.0 → 40.6population component 0.0 → 3.0
- BtoAindex 21 → 14Orange → Yellow10d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 14)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 39.6 → 22.0