Rating
Argentina risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-08 23:57:13 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-09 01:57:13 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 36/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoAindex 26 → 16Yellow → Green8d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 16)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.2 → 9.6population component 7.4 → 16.0
Country rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 16). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributed. severity component 38.2 → 9.6. population component 7.4 → 16.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — AR Detected: 2026-10-05T05:50:00.000Z CalamityScore: 48/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 159,607 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: AR. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoBindex 51 → 26Orange → Yellow9d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 26)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 38.2
- CtoCindex 55 → 51Red → Orange9d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 26.7 → 7.4
- CtoCindex 50 → 55Orange → Red10d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 1.4 → 26.7
- CtoCindex 52 → 50Red → Orange11d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 15.0 → 1.4
- CtoCindex 46 → 52Orange → Red11d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 85.0 → 100.0population component 15.6 → 15.0
- CtoCindex 41 → 4611d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 46Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.6 → 85.0
- BtoCindex 36 → 4112d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 41)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.0 → 70.6
- CtoBindex 46 → 3612d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 46 → 36)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 81.4 → 58.0population component 16.6 → 15.6forecast component 67.5 → 61.5
- BtoCindex 39 → 4612d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 46)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.4 → 81.4
- BtoBindex 26 → 3912d agoActivity score changed from 26 to 39Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 63.4population component 15.4 → 16.6
- BtoBindex 21 → 26Yellow → Orange13d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 31.2population component 0.0 → 15.4
- AtoBindex 19 → 2113d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 21)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.6 → 27.0
- CtoAindex 58 → 19Red → Yellow13d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 58 → 19)Operational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 21.6population component 41.6 → 0.0forecast component 66.0 → 67.5
- DtoCindex 61 → 5814d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 61 → 58)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 54.2 → 41.6forecast component 69.0 → 66.0
- CtoDindex 53 → 6114d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 61)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 10.5 → 54.2forecast component 72.0 → 69.0
- CtoCindex 51 → 53Orange → Red15d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 3.5 → 10.5forecast component 70.5 → 72.0
- CtoCindex 51 → 51Red → Orange16d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 4.5 → 3.5
- DtoCindex 62 → 5116d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 62 → 51)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 56.2 → 4.5forecast component 73.5 → 70.5
- CtoDindex 58 → 6216d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 58 → 62)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 35.4 → 56.2forecast component 70.5 → 73.5