Rating
Australia risk rating
Activity gradeCindex 50.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated10m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 06:05:15 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 08:05:15 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI3.7/100
CFI activity proxy63.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 38/100 · Eligible records: 17
Rating history
- CtoCindex 55 → 506h agoActivity score changed from 55 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 28.3 → 3.9
Activity score changed from 55 to 50. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributed. population component 28.3 → 3.9. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — AU Detected: 2026-10-11T16:39:00.000Z CalamityScore: 43/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: AU. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 75 → 55Orange → Yellow6h agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 75 → 55)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0population component 8.1 → 28.3forecast component 57.0 → 63.0
- EtoDindex 94 → 757d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 94 → 75)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 8.1
- EtoEindex 95 → 94Red → Orange7d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributed8 new cascade alert(s)forecast component 63.8 → 57.0
- DtoEindex 80 → 958d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 80 → 95)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 86); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 25.1 → 100.0
- DtoDindex 78 → 80Orange → Red8d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed2 new cascade alert(s)population component 18.1 → 25.1
- DtoDindex 78 → 78Red → Orange9d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed5 new cascade alert(s)population component 17.5 → 18.1
- DtoDindex 76 → 78Orange → Red9d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 9.0 → 17.5
- EtoDindex 83 → 76Red → Orange10d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 83 → 76)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed4 new cascade alert(s)population component 44.5 → 9.0
- EtoEindex 82 → 83Orange → Red10d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 37.6 → 44.5forecast component 62.3 → 63.8
- EtoEindex 83 → 82Red → Orange11d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 60); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)population component 41.7 → 37.6forecast component 64.5 → 62.3
- DtoEindex 78 → 83Orange → Red11d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 78 → 83)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 14.9 → 41.7
- EtoDindex 83 → 78Red → Orange12d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 83 → 78)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed8 new cascade alert(s)population component 44.1 → 14.9
- EtoEindex 82 → 83Orange → Red12d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)population component 35.2 → 44.1
- DtoEindex 75 → 8213d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 75 → 82)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)population component 0.0 → 35.2
- DtoDindex 76 → 75Red → Orange14d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 5.3 → 0.0forecast component 66.0 → 64.5
- EtoDindex 84 → 7615d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 84 → 76)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 48.9 → 5.3forecast component 64.5 → 66.0
- DtoEindex 75 → 84Orange → Red15d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 75 → 84)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)population component 3.9 → 48.9
- EtoDindex 92 → 75Red → Orange16d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 92 → 75)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 87.9 → 3.9forecast component 65.3 → 64.5
- EtoEindex 92 → 92Orange → Red16d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 85.6 → 87.9